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<channel>
	<title>JS</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog</link>
	<description>Addicted to politics, psychology and popular culture.</description>
	<pubDate>Thu, 02 Oct 2008 01:03:25 +0000</pubDate>
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			<item>
		<title>Brilliant, funny and tragic about subprime mortages</title>
		<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/10/01/brilliant-funny-and-tragic-abou-subprime-mortages/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/10/01/brilliant-funny-and-tragic-abou-subprime-mortages/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Oct 2008 01:03:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/?p=151</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Lee Sigelman at the Monkey Cage posted a great video about the current economic crisis. The brilliance/minutes ratio is high.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lee Sigelman at the Monkey Cage <a href="http://www.themonkeycage.org/2008/10/post_126.html">posted a great video</a> about the current economic crisis. The brilliance/minutes ratio is high.</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Obama wins the first presidential debate according to polls</title>
		<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/09/27/obama-wins-the-first-presidential-debate-according-to-polls/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/09/27/obama-wins-the-first-presidential-debate-according-to-polls/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Sep 2008 13:26:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[McCain]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/?p=149</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Let us skip the discussion if debates really matter for a moment and focus instead on who won the debate.
The first point is that, just as regular people, columnists saw the debate through their partisan eyes. In general, Republicans found McCain to be brilliant and Democrats agreed that Obama won the debate handily. Below are [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let us skip the discussion if debates really matter for a moment and focus instead on who won the debate.</p>
<p>The first point is that, just as regular people, columnists saw the debate through their partisan eyes. In general, Republicans found McCain to be brilliant and Democrats agreed that Obama won the debate handily. Below are a few news headlines [from <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/">Real Clear Politics</a>]:</p>
<p><a onclick="return trackclick('http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/section?category=PluckPersona&amp;U=3a86a5c341684631abb59d87c02a2df8&amp;plckController=PersonaBlog&amp;plckScript=personaScript&amp;plckElementId=personaDest&amp;plckPersonaPage=BlogViewPost&amp;plckPostId=Blog%3a3a86a5c341684631abb59d87c02a2df8Post%3aec9d034f-e49d-4a39-9420-976a206ad4a6&amp;plckCommentSortOrder=TimeStampAscending&amp;sid=sitelife.desmoinesregister.com', 'David Yepsen, Des Moines Register','McCain Wins Substantive Debate');" href="http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/section?category=PluckPersona&amp;U=3a86a5c341684631abb59d87c02a2df8&amp;plckController=PersonaBlog&amp;plckScript=personaScript&amp;plckElementId=personaDest&amp;plckPersonaPage=BlogViewPost&amp;plckPostId=Blog%3a3a86a5c341684631abb59d87c02a2df8Post%3aec9d034f-e49d-4a39-9420-976a206ad4a6&amp;plckCommentSortOrder=TimeStampAscending&amp;sid=sitelife.desmoinesregister.com">McCain Wins Substantive Debate</a> -  David Yepsen, Des Moines Register<br />
<a onclick="return trackclick('http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1845114,00.html', 'Joe Klein, Time','Obama Wins Debate On Tactics and Strategies');" href="http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1845114,00.html">Obama Wins Debate On Tactics and Strategies</a> -  Joe Klein, Time<br />
<a onclick="return trackclick('http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0908/14005.html', 'Roger Simon, The Politco','The Mac is Back');" href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0908/14005.html">The Mac is Back</a> -  Roger Simon, The Politco<br />
<a onclick="return trackclick('http://www.slate.com/id/2200924/', 'John Dickerson, Slate','Tie Goes to Obama');" href="http://www.slate.com/id/2200924/">Tie Goes to Obama</a> -  John Dickerson, Slate<br />
<a onclick="return trackclick('http://www.weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Articles/000/000/015/621doxdy.asp', 'Fred Barnes Weekly Standard','McCain Won, But That\'s Not Enough');" href="http://www.weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Articles/000/000/015/621doxdy.asp">McCain Won, But That&#8217;s Not Enough</a> -  Fred Barnes Weekly Standard</p>
<p>The second and probably more interesting point is that Obama did better among Republicans than McCain did among Democrats.?? Polling conducted in California by <a href="http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0742af0b-f002-49c2-885c-724d768d6e0d">SurveyUSA </a>shows that of Republicans, 56 percent thought that McCain won, 25 percent said Obama and 19 percent considered it a tie. As for Democrats, 72 percent said that Obama won, 13 percent thought McCain got it and 15 said that it was a tie. In other words, Obama did better than McCain because 1 in 4 of the Republicans answered that Obama won whereas 1 in 8 of the Democrats thought that McCain won.</p>
<p>Finally, also the group of uncommitted voters saw Obama as the winner. <a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/09/27/opinion/polls/main4482119.shtml">CBS</a> asked a nationally representative sample &#8220;Who won the debate?&#8221; and 39 percent of them said that Obama won while 24 percent said McCain. 37 percent concluded that it was a tie.</p>
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		<title>George Washington - He&#8217;ll kick you apart, he&#8217;s coming, he&#8217;s coming</title>
		<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/09/12/washingto/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/09/12/washingto/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Sep 2008 00:38:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/?p=146</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have always thought it was strange to rank American presidents. It seems close to impossible to know how history would have unfolded if, say, Lincoln would have taken George W. Bush&#8217;s place or vice versa. Perhaps we would all live in harmony if this switch was made, or perhaps the world would be post-apocalyptic [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have always thought it was strange to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_rankings_of_United_States_Presidents">rank American presidents</a>. It seems close to impossible to know how history would have unfolded if, say, Lincoln would have taken George W. Bush&#8217;s place or vice versa. Perhaps we would all live in harmony if this switch was made, or perhaps the world would be post-apocalyptic - or perhaps it would not make a difference at all.</p>
<p>Irrespective of how meaningful these rankings are, George Washington often wins. After viewing a video about him (thanks Angie) I think I understand his greatness a little better. In case you missed it, see the video below.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sbRom1Rz8OA"><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="425" height="350" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/sbRom1Rz8OA" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="425" height="350" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/sbRom1Rz8OA"></embed></object></a></p>
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		<item>
		<title>Finally a little intimacy</title>
		<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/08/28/finally-a-little-intimacy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/08/28/finally-a-little-intimacy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Aug 2008 02:58:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/?p=141</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The political strategists were at hard work before Obama&#8217;s speech (from NY Times):
On Thursday afternoon, workers were still making changes to Invesco Field, home to the Denver Broncos, so it would feel more intimate, less like the boisterous rallies that served Mr. Obama so well early in the primaries, but also created the celebrity image [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The political strategists were at hard work before Obama&#8217;s speech (from <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/29/us/politics/29stage.html?ref=politics">NY Times</a>):</p>
<blockquote><p>On Thursday afternoon, workers were still making changes to Invesco Field, home to the Denver Broncos, so it would feel more intimate, less like the boisterous rallies that served Mr. Obama so well early in the primaries, but also created the celebrity image that dogs him. They were still testing camera angles to the very end, so Mr. Obama would appear among the giant crowd, not above it.</p></blockquote>
<p>Was it just me, or didn&#8217;t they succeed a little too well? I now know exactly how Obama&#8217;s mole looks like. Thank you strategists!</p>
<p><a href="http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/barack-obama1.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-142" title="GYI0000729870.jpg" src="http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/barack-obama1.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="918" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://presidenciais2008.files.wordpress.com/2008/02/barack-obama.jpg"><br />
</a></p>
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		<item>
		<title>Animals, food and a pink elephant</title>
		<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/08/26/animals-food-and-a-pink-elephant/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/08/26/animals-food-and-a-pink-elephant/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Aug 2008 03:28:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[animals]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[food]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/?p=136</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Cannibalistic food is strange. But what does it mean that a pink(!) elephant is wearing the GOP symbol? It is all very confusing.

[Food that eats itself from Boing Boing]
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1212/526941171_070364a0cd.jpg?v=0"><img class="alignnone" title="Hot Dog Eating Hot Dog" src="http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1212/526941171_070364a0cd.jpg?v=0" alt="" width="500" height="375" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/agmilmoe/sets/72157594356771968/">Cannibalistic food</a> is strange. But what does it mean that a pink(!) elephant is wearing the <a href="http://www.gop.com/">GOP</a> symbol? It is all very confusing.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.gop.com/images/Store/maxine_store.jpg"><img class="alignnone" title="Pink Elephant" src="http://www.gop.com/images/Store/maxine_store.jpg" alt="" width="390" height="265" /></a></p>
<p>[Food that eats itself from <a href="http://www.boingboing.net/2008/08/26/food-that-eats-itsel.html">Boing Boing</a>]</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Polls and house effects</title>
		<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/08/25/polls-and-house-effects/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/08/25/polls-and-house-effects/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Aug 2008 13:42:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/?p=134</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This post about how polling organizations influence results is interesting. Great work by Charles H. Franklin on house effects.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://politicalarithmetik.blogspot.com/2008/08/how-pollsters-affect-poll-results.html">This post</a> about how polling organizations influence results is interesting. Great work by Charles H. Franklin on house effects.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Safe or daring choice of running mate</title>
		<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/08/19/safe-or-daring-choice-of-runnin-mate/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/08/19/safe-or-daring-choice-of-runnin-mate/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Aug 2008 15:15:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[McCain]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/?p=130</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Soon Obama and McCain will pick their running mates. Speculation has been going on for a long time. Here is Huffington Post&#8217;s latest take on the subject:
 According to the latest speculation, Barack Obama&#8217;s VP short list has tightened to two Senators and one governor &#8212; Evan Bayh, Joe Biden, and Tim Kaine. But several [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://impeachforpeace.org/impeach_bush_blog/wp-content/uploads/2007/11/biden.jpg"><img class="alignnone" title="Joe Biden" src="http://impeachforpeace.org/impeach_bush_blog/wp-content/uploads/2007/11/biden.jpg" alt="" width="518" height="340" /></a></p>
<p>Soon Obama and McCain will pick their running mates. Speculation has been going on for a long time. Here is <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/05/09/obama-vice-president-pick_n_100869.html">Huffington Post&#8217;s </a>latest take on the subject:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong></strong> According to the latest speculation, Barack Obama&#8217;s VP short list has tightened to two Senators and one governor &#8212; <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/29/evan-bayh-obamas-vice-pre_n_115615.html">Evan Bayh</a>, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/28/joe-biden-obamas-vice-pre_n_115457.html">Joe Biden</a>, and <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/29/tim-kaine-obamas-vice-pre_n_115463.html">Tim Kaine</a>. But several other figures have been considered, and may still be in the running, including Kansas Gov. <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/28/kathleen-sebelius-obamas_n_115442.html">Kathleen Sebelius</a> and Sens. <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/29/chris-dodd-obamas-vice-pr_n_115523.html">Chris Dodd</a> and <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/29/hillary-clinton-obamas-vi_n_115435.html">Hillary Clinton</a>. Also considered long-shots are GOP Sen. <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/28/chuck-hagel-obamas-vice-p_n_115448.html">Chuck Hagel</a>, Texas Rep. Chet Edwards, and Sen. Jack Reed.</p></blockquote>
<p>Obama is leading the race over McCain both according to <a href="http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/trading/t_index.jsp?selConID=409933">political gambling sites</a> and the <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html#polls">polls</a>. Does this make any difference in who they will pick?</p>
<p>Research on risk perceptions indicates that when issues are framed in a positive light, like when a win is plausible, then people are more risk averse than if issues are framed in terms of losses, like a loss is impending (see for example Tversky and <a href="http://nobelprize.virtual.museum/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2002/kahneman-autobio.html">Kahneman&#8217;s</a> research). That is, people who are in tight situations go for the long shots whereas those in favorable positions take the safe choice.</p>
<p>If risk research is any guide to the choices of running mates, McCain probably picks a riskier candidate, someone who can change the outcome of the race, while Obama goes for the safer alternative. It is therefore more likely that Obama will pick Biden rather than someone like Mike Bloomberg. (This does of course not mean that McCain will introduce <a href="http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/">Rush Limbaugh</a> as his running mate since there are limits to these effects.)</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Dancing liquid</title>
		<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/07/16/dancing-liquid/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/07/16/dancing-liquid/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jul 2008 10:42:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[music]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[tricks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/?p=129</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You are at a party. After discussing the sluggish economy, Obama&#8217;s prospects, security versus civil liberties and so on for some time, a trick might be in order - just to mix things up a bit. The problem is that party tricks are often so boring. Or you come across as Criss Angel&#8217;s failed cousin [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You are at a party. After discussing the sluggish economy, Obama&#8217;s prospects, security versus civil liberties and so on for some time, a trick might be in order - just to mix things up a bit. The problem is that party tricks are often so boring. Or you come across as <a href="http://www.crissangel.com/">Criss Angel</a>&#8217;s failed cousin (even the original is annoying). Instead, try this combination of cornstarch, water, a subwoofer and a metal sheet (see video below):</p>
<p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yp1wUodQgqQ"><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="425" height="350" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/Yp1wUodQgqQ" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="425" height="350" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/Yp1wUodQgqQ"></embed></object></a></p>
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		<item>
		<title>Kris Kristofferson, the Ambassador of Dalarna</title>
		<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/07/15/kris-kristofferson/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/07/15/kris-kristofferson/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jul 2008 18:43:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[movies]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[music]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/?p=128</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
The county administrative board of Dalarna (L??nsstyrelsen i Dalarna) has made Kris Kristofferson &#8220;Ambassador of Honour of Dalarna&#8220;. I am not sure if this will have any effects beyond short-term publicity, but I like this initiative anyway. The award is given to someone with a strong connection to Dalarna, which Kristofferson apparently has this through [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2332/2429375046_9775ddf290.jpg?v=0" alt="" width="500" height="375" /></p>
<p>The county administrative board of <a href="http://www.dalarna.se/DalarnaDefault____4.aspx?epslanguage=EN">Dalarna </a>(L??nsstyrelsen i Dalarna) has made <a href="http://www.kriskristofferson.com/">Kris Kristofferson</a> <span class="introduction">&#8220;<a href="http://www.w.lst.se/template/Forminfo.aspx?id=8414">Ambassador of Honour of Dalarna</a>&#8220;. I am not sure if this will have any effects beyond short-term publicity, but I like this initiative anyway. The award is given to someone with a strong connection to Dalarna, which Kristofferson apparently has this through his ancestors. In return, the administrative board expects him to spread &#8220;the many values&#8221; of the county to a wider audience. This fuzzy language could mean pretty much anything.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span class="introduction">It is hard not to like the <a href="http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0001434/">versatile</a> <a href="http://www.allmusic.com/cg/amg.dll?p=amg&amp;sql=11:hifixql5ldse">Kristofferson</a>. He will accept the award at a concert in Dalhalla, July 28.</span></p>
<p>According to <a href="http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0001434/bio">IMDB</a>, he has uttered words of wisdom like: &#8220;Never go to bed with anyone crazier than yourself.&#8221;</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Tim Russert</title>
		<link>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/06/13/tim-russert/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/06/13/tim-russert/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Jun 2008 03:26:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[television]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/?p=127</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
It is easy to write long rants about the stupidity of American television news. Not now, though. My favorite political reporter died today. In fact, Meet the Press has been the only political news program that I could watch without getting annoyed. Tim Russert&#8217;s interviews were incisive and civil. He also had an amazing depth [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.dailygalaxy.com/my_weblog/images/2007/11/05/tim_russert_3.jpg" alt="" width="388" height="340" /></p>
<p>It is easy to write long rants about the stupidity of American television news. Not now, though. My favorite political reporter died today. In fact, Meet the Press has been the only political news program that <a href="http://www.jacobsohlberg.com/blog/2008/01/03/chuck-norris-heart-huckabee/">I could watch</a> without getting annoyed. Tim Russert&#8217;s interviews were incisive <em>and </em>civil. He also had an amazing depth of knowledge and a fantastic ability to tell a story. <a href="http://www.time.com/time/specials/2007/article/0,28804,1733748_1733752_1735737,00.html">Time </a>ranked him recently as one of the world&#8217;s 100 most influential people.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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